“Learning from Forecast Disasters” – Mark Blessington

November 23, 2016 Christian Sarkar

The 2016 presidential election forecast may be one of the worst forecasting disasters of the modern era. It is arguably in the same league as the sub-prime mortgage forecasts that led to the Great Recession. Both seem systemic in that many independent forecasters made the same mistake. And both outcomes were a tremendous shock. Until […]

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